{"id":1486,"date":"2019-07-05T13:51:00","date_gmt":"2019-07-05T05:51:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bosaenergy.cn\/?p=1486"},"modified":"2025-12-23T14:15:49","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T06:15:49","slug":"forklarer-den-stigende-eftersporgsel-efter-litium-ion-batterier","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bosaenergy.cn\/da\/explaining-the-surging-demand-for-lithium-ion-batteries\/","title":{"rendered":"Forklaring af den stigende eftersp\u00f8rgsel efter litium-ion-batterier"},"content":{"rendered":"

Batteriserien er en infografikserie i fem dele, der udforsker, hvad investorer har brug for at vide om moderne batteriteknologi, herunder udbud af r\u00e5materialer, eftersp\u00f8rgsel og fremtidige anvendelser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Forklaring af den stigende eftersp\u00f8rgsel efter litium-ion-batterier<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

I del 1 og 2 unders\u00f8gte vi udviklingen af batteriteknologi<\/a> samt hvad batterier kan og kan ikke g\u00f8re<\/a>. I denne del vil vi tackle eftersp\u00f8rgslen p\u00e5 markedet for genopladelige batterier med et stort fokus p\u00e5 det hurtigt voksende litium-ion-segment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I mange \u00e5rtier har blybatterier v\u00e6ret de vigtigste genopladelige batterier i vores liv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selv i 2014 kom omkring 64,5% af alle indt\u00e6gter p\u00e5 markedet for genopladelige batterier fra salg af blysyre, prim\u00e6rt til brug i bilstartere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvorfor?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selvom de ikke er de mest energit\u00e6tte batterier, er blysyrebatterier dokumenteret i stand til at levere h\u00f8je st\u00f8dstr\u00f8mme. De er ogs\u00e5 ekstremt billige at fremstille og koster omkring $150 pr. kWh energikapacitet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

INDG\u00c5 LITHIUM-ION<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

De f\u00f8rste litium-ionbatterier var ikke billige. Faktisk kostede tidlige batterier, der blev produceret kommercielt i midten af 90'erne, typisk op mod 1400 \u00b5s pr. kWh energi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Heldigvis er prisen p\u00e5 lithium-ion-batterier faldet dramatisk, hvilket har gjort dem til det foretrukne batteri inden for forbrugerelektronik i l\u00f8bet af 2000'erne. Og for nylig har forskere gjort endnu st\u00f8rre fremskridt og \u00e5bnet op for mange flere anvendelser af lithium-ion-batterier, nemlig i elbiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I 2008 anslog analytikere, at lithium-ion-batteripakker kostede $600-$1.200 pr. kWh, men dette interval ville falde til $500-800 pr. kWh i l\u00f8bet af de f\u00f8lgende fire \u00e5r. Tesla h\u00e6vder nu, at et Tesla Model S-batteri koster $240 pr. kWh, og at den forventede pris for en Model 3 er $190 pr. kWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ved $240 kWh bliver lithium-ioner konkurrencedygtige med $3\/gallon gas. Ved $150 er de endda konkurrencedygtige med $2 gas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00e6mpestore megafabrikker som f.eks. Teslas Gigafactory 1<\/a> vil ogs\u00e5 bidrage til stordriftsfordele i produktionen af litium-ion-batterier, hvilket g\u00f8r dem endnu billigere. Snart vil batteripakker koste t\u00e6ttere p\u00e5 $100 pr. kWh, hvilket vil g\u00f8re dem v\u00e6sentligt billigere end alle benzindrevne k\u00f8ret\u00f8jer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EFTERSP\u00d8RGSEL EFTER LITHIUM-ION-BATTERIER<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Store fremskridt inden for litium-ion-batteriteknologi har \u00e6ndret alt. Billigere og mere effektive litium-ion-batterier overtager nu batterimarkedet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I 2014 udgjorde lithium-ioner 33,4% af det globale marked for genopladelige batterier til en v\u00e6rdi af 1TP449 milliarder. Bernstein ansl\u00e5r, at markedet for genopladelige batterier i 2025 vil mere end fordobles i st\u00f8rrelse til 1TP4112 milliarder, mens lithium-ion-batteriers markedsandel vil mere end fordobles til 70,0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den vigtigste drivkraft? Bilsegmentet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I 2010 var bilsektoren en dr\u00e5be i havet, hvad ang\u00e5r salg af lithium-ion-batterier. Fem \u00e5r senere tegnede bilsektoren sig for mere end 14,5 milliarder pund i oms\u00e6tning i en sektor med en v\u00e6rdi af n\u00e6sten 14,16 milliarder pund.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ELBILEN BLIR MAINSTREAM<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

I 2015 blev der solgt n\u00e6sten en halv million biler med elektrisk drivlinje i USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

14% af disse salg var batterielektriske k\u00f8ret\u00f8jer (BEV'er):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • 71.000 batteridrevne elbiler (14%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • 43.000 plug-in-hybrider (9%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • 384.000 hybrider (77%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    = 498.000 elektriske k\u00f8ret\u00f8jer<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Men som en del af det samlede amerikanske bilsalg udgjorde elbiler stadig mindre end 11.300.000 dollars af salget:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • 71.000 batteridrevne elbiler (0,4%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • 43.000 plug-in-hybrider (0,3%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • 384.000 hybrider (2,3%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • 16.900.000 salg af benzin\/diesel (97%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      Dette forventes dog at \u00e6ndre sig hurtigt i den n\u00e6rmeste fremtid. I 2040 vil cirka 351.300 tons af alt globalt salg v\u00e6re elbiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Dette vil bringe salget af elbiler op p\u00e5 t\u00e6t p\u00e5 40 millioner om \u00e5ret globalt, hvilket betyder, at en masse energi skal lagres i batterier. Bloomberg New Energy Finance forventer, at elbiler p\u00e5 nuv\u00e6rende tidspunkt vil tr\u00e6kke mere end 1.900 TWh fra nettet hvert \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Hvor meget koster 1.900 TWh? Det er nok til at forsyne hele USA med str\u00f8m i 160 dage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Og for at im\u00f8dekomme denne eftersp\u00f8rgsel efter litium-ion-drevne k\u00f8ret\u00f8jer, skal der produceres en massiv m\u00e6ngde batteripakker.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      The Battery Series is a five-part infographic series that explores what investors need to know about modern battery technology, including raw material supply, demand, and future applications. Explaining the Surging Demand for Lithium-Ion Batteries In Parts 1 and 2, we examined the evolution of battery technology as well as what batteries can and cannot do. In this part, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1493,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nExplaining the Surging Demand for Lithium-Ion Batteries - BOSA lithium battery<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bosaenergy.cn\/da\/forklarer-den-stigende-eftersporgsel-efter-litium-ion-batterier\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"da_DK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Explaining the Surging Demand for Lithium-Ion Batteries - BOSA lithium battery\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Battery Series is a five-part infographic series that explores what investors need to know about modern battery technology, including raw material supply, demand, and future applications. 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Explaining the Surging Demand for Lithium-Ion Batteries In Parts 1 and 2, we examined the evolution of battery technology as well as what batteries can and cannot do. 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